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Black Swan – Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Opis towaru

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.


Cechy towaru

ISBN 9780812973815
Cena
59,00 


Stan magazynowy
6 szt.
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Black Swan – Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Opis towaru

Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything – and take advantage of uncertainty.

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great’s lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they’re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

‚Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide … I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person’ Will Self, Independent on Sunday

‚He leaps like some superhero of the mind’ Boyd Tonkin, Independent

‚Funny, quirky and thought-provoking … confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot’ John Cornwell, Sunday Times

‚Idiosyncratically brilliant’ Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph

‚Great fun … brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling’ Stephen J. Dubner, Co-Author of Freakonomics


Cechy towaru

ISBN 9780141034591
Cena
45,00 


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0 szt.
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